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HTN Now panel: how can digital help prepare for winter pressures?

For a recent webinar focusing on the role of digital in helping healthcare organisations to prepare for winter pressures, HTN was joined by expert panellists including Patrick Denston, PCN digital transformation and change manager at Frimley ICB; Jamie Griffin, head of commercial at Livi; and Lee Rickles, CIO at Humber Teaching Hospitals. The panel offered a range of practical insights and examples, highlighting successes and challenges in ongoing projects, and discussing the role of virtual care in supporting patient journeys.

Kicking off our introductions, Lee talked about his role and remit as CIO, also noting his work with Interweave, who provide a shared care records platform across England, and as technical lead for the Yorkshire and Humber secure data environment. Jamie shared details of his current role heading up the commercial and partnerships team at Livi, a provider of digital and video consultations to the NHS. Patrick noted his work with Frimley ICB on data analytics, working to translate data insights into strategies to change day-to-day working for clinicians in primary care.

Insights and practical examples

Discussing the headline question around the role of digital in preparing for winter pressures, panellists shared their thoughts and practical examples from their organisation or region. “It’s a slightly different question for us,” said Jamie, “as we are the digital solution, and what we do in general is about creating more appointments and more capacity for primary care”. Digital solutions shouldn’t only help those who are digitally enabled, he considered, “but the way we look at it is that if we are offering a digital solution, that should sit alongside more traditional ways of doing things – it’s about taking away pressure by helping those digitally enabled patients whilst supporting NHS organisations to deliver ongoing quality of care for their whole patient population”.

The approach at Livi looks to have an ever-present layer of staff, should they be required by a practice, Jamie told us. “If we’re working with an ICB, we know at some point they might need another 400 appointments per week, so we’d look to set that up ahead of time.” It’s a challenge to figure out when those spikes in demand or drops in supply might arise, he continued, “so we try to have something available seven days per week, 8am to 10pm”.

Patrick talked about the use of digital tools to help improve understandings of baseline population needs. “We use digital tools to gather the data initially and then use that in risk stratification tools across Frimley,” he said. “We use the Johns Hopkins risk stratification model to allow us to provide care in what is traditionally a slightly quieter period over the summer months, before going into autumn and winter.” Prioritising those with long-term conditions frees up capacity for patients with acute issues coming in during the winter months, he continued, “and we have an ongoing project across Frimley taking data from secondary care, 111 and primary care to identify patients with hypertension or high risk of diabetes to try to control that before they get to a point of crisis”. Ultimately, it’s about managing as much upfront as possible, and digital tools help handle the volume of data required to support this work.

Frimley has seen a reduction over the last few years in ED and 111 usage for patient groups that have been optimised as much as possible outside of winter periods, Patrick reported. “We’ve also had success in mapping patients’ digital capability scores against their risk stratification scores, to work out whether a digital-first approach is appropriate and then working with suppliers to filter out those digitally enabled patients who can be prompted to use digital services first.” That frees up time for those who do need to use more traditional routes into care, he went on, “and by doing that, you shift everything to the left and reduce overall system pressures by looking at cohorts of maybe 100 patients that one clinician can work with over a period of time to optimise their health”. The ICB uses suppliers for a lot of its data work, feeding into Power BI platforms and into population health dashboards.

Lee agreed with the importance of identifying those patient groups likely to require care over the winter months, highlighting the need for operational planning. “It’s also about being able to share that information with those involved in that care, ensuring operational services know what information needs to be recorded, what tools they have available to them, and maintaining rosters,” he shared. During winter, things like training and support can be made more difficult by staffing issues, and it’s essential to get the basics right and use the data available to prevent or redirect that pressure. “That includes making sure WiFi, infrastructure, and devices are all there, because when we’re struggling for capacity, that can add more frustration and lead to a bad experience for patients, poor outcomes, and staff demoralisation.”

Handling care across multiple different organisations that might have different processes is also a challenge, according to Lee. “Hopefully, the 10-Year Plan will help with that, and one thing we have gained a lot of value from has been real-time messaging between EDs and ambulances, which has reduced the number of patients transferred to ED by about 40 percent.” Focusing on the bottlenecks and having the information required means not only reducing that pressure on ED, but also a better experience for patients who do end up being treated there. The cost of new digital tools and technologies can also be difficult to factor in, and this needs to be accompanied by a new way of thinking across the NHS to allow them to be fully embraced.

Patrick picked up on some of the challenges surrounding the introduction of technologies such as AI. “AI is a wonderful tool, but it has to be used as a tool, not as a solution. If your processes behind that aren’t correct, you’ve just digitalised a poor process. The challenge is often when you’re given something from a national level without full understanding of the problem and having to layer that over the top, because it adds another problem that you have to try to navigate around.” Digital services like those offered by Livi, as well as new tools such as ambient scribes and generative AI offer a definite quality improvement, he added, “and technology such as ChatGPT are amazing for things like averaging blood pressures, saving about 15 minutes per patient, but it’s ensuring they are supporting clinicians with cognitive load or decision-making, rather than doing it for them”.

Changing the metrics