Draper & Dash, a leading predictive patient flow provider has launched a COVID-19 live hospital planning and demand impact assessment tool.
The company said it has been working around the clock to deliver its vital tool to support impact assessment. It allows trusts to view and analyse national Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) data, alongside a number of live data sources on COVID-19 cases by the minute, as they emerge across the globe.
The system models the impact of increased volume and complexity at a local and system level, providing visibility of ICU, theatres, and overall bed impact, and connects this live information to each trust’s clinical workforce. The tool shows immediate impacts on beds and staff under a range of selected scenarios.
The company have also created a feature within the tool which works in the trust-level situation on a running basis, bringing in factors such as pathology and radiology data to run live against ED activity. From this, providers will be able to assess the impact of COVID-19 upon their organisation on a daily basis, to monitor, plan and predict the needs of health systems during the crisis.
Orlando Agrippa, CEO, Draper & Dash said to HTN “As the government now begins to announce new measures to increase bed numbers, including commandeering space from private hospitals and hotels, alongside attempts to work around the issue of falling staff numbers, it will continue to be of critical importance to track availability and demand across trusts and regions.”
“A crucial part of this will be leveraging core datasets that outline usual levels of demand and combining this data with what has already been seen from the spread of the virus across the globe. To support this, our C19 module utilises historical A&E demand, inpatient conversion metrics, emergency admission Sitrep, critical care bed occupancy, and HES datasets to extrapolate regular demand levels for each individual organisation. From this, a forecast of upcoming demand is created using each provider’s data, run through several different forecasting models and providing the basis upon which healthcare teams can plan their next steps in combating the impact of the virus, working to ensure that patients have a place to go and are able to receive the care they need.”
“As the number of cases grow globally, day-by-day, it is important that we learn what we can from those countries ahead of us on the COVID-19 curve.”
“As such, an important component of our C19 tool analyses the trajectory of selected sample countries, China, Italy, and the USA, in order to provide a scale to which the UK’s daily confirmed cumulative cases are compared, forming the starting point for forward projections on a daily basis. The module therefore mimics the potential growth in COVID-19 cases across the UK as a projection from the recorded cases of these countries, taking into account where factors such as geography, patient demographics, and population density are similar between individual regions within the UK and the relevant sample countries.”
The tool supports providers model the potential impact of COVID-19 providing real-time risk profiling factors and the ability for users to edit variability from calculated pre-sets, such as A&E demand, the number of patients requiring admission or treatment, and the average length of stay for COVID-19 patients. It also provides visibility of ICU and overall trust bed availability; each trust will be able to model their individual projections based upon up-to-date and predicted situations on the ground.
Agrippa said “Our doctors, nurses, and healthcare teams need support, and at this difficult time, we welcome anyone who wishes to discuss the module further or gain access to the tool to reach out to us.”
Please contact info@draperanddash.com for details and to gain access to the tool.
